situation in the Biden administration is also obvious to all. Within this,
there are five policy signals related to China:
1. General Mark
Milley's phone call incident: General Milley was exposed by the American media
to privately disclose to China that the United States would not attack it. At
the same time, he also assured China that if China and the United States are in
war, he would notify China. Milley was forced to admit that this was true, but
he believed that he was doing his responsibility. With this however, the world
now sees the United States actually has dual-attitudes towards China, one that is
public, and one that is undisclosed.
2. General John E. Hyten's speech: General Hyten is the vice chairman of the
Joint Chiefs of Staff of the United States Armed Forces. He openly and clearly
emphasized that the strategic goal of the United States is to never go to war
with China, shocking the world and subverting all the U.S. strategic policies
in the past. It is worth noting that the U.S.' "no waging war" strategy is true
not only towards China, but also between the U.S. and Russia.
3. Janet Yellen's
speech: After Yellen became Secretary of the Treasury, she expressed her
dissatisfaction with the U.S.-China trade agreement under the Trump
administration. In addition, she has publicly expressed her intention to visit
China on many occasions. As the Secretary of the Treasury of the United States,
Yellen understands China's important position in the world. As an economist,
she is very likely to understand the world situation from the perspective of
economics, thus promoting the contact between the United States and China and
strengthening bilateral relations.
4. Speech Gina
Raimondo: U.S. Secretary of Commerce Raimondo recently stated that she will
seek to improve the commercial ties between the United States and China. While
tensions between the two countries on national security and human rights issues
are on the rise, she still believes that the two countries can benefit from
each other. This of course, is another obvious policy signal.
settlement of the Meng Wanzhou incident: The incident has been delayed for a
long time, and its status in geopolitics has begun to decline significantly.
The U.S.' actions in this matter show its support for China's current political
structure, and that it is eager to change China's position at any cost so that
the latter could start negotiations with it.
these incidents, the evacuation of troops from Afghanistan and its consequences
have forced the United States to face the changes in the situation in the
world, a world that it can no longer dominate. It has lost the trust of many
countries in the world, and can only get closer ties with Britain and
Australia. The hastiness of the Biden administration's actions is unfathomable
to not only China and Europe, even the Republicans and Democrats fail to
to power, Biden has tried to seek innovation in all aspects, attempting to find
a way different from Trump, showing the ambition and ability of his
professional team. They produce write-ups, discuss their opinions, meet various
authorities and experts, so as to establish their position. They hoped that
while maintaining the unique and strong position of the United States, they
could maintain the demeanor that surpasses Trump and win the respect of the
world. Obviously, Biden's team has failed in this regard. Not only that it has
to inherit Trump's practices in many aspects, but they would encounter huge
troubles with just slight changes in these practices.
On the issue
of U.S.-China relations, the Biden administration will substantially choose to
accept the Kissingerian position, which is to coexist with China and recognize its
status in the world. This is not because of the validity of Kissingerian view,
but because the theoretical literacy and actual standard of the Biden
administration and its members are limited to the framework of realism.
by ANBOUND previously, Biden wants to be respected, yet this respect cannot
come from the Congress, nor from the media or think tanks and scholars, and not
even from the military grassroots, but only from some of the general public. A
key geopolitical judgment is that in the face of various challenges, the Biden
administration and its team cannot make innovations, neither does the existing
theoretical system in the United States support such innovations. The language
that Biden understands and almost everything that Biden's team has learned is
nothing more than the realism that formed before and after the Cold War in
geopolitics. Therefore, within 2-3 years, China can continue maintaining its
position without fear of the pressure of the United States.
incident in the U.S. can disrupt the American political system, as it is ill
equipped to deal with such shock. This is a natural defect of the American
education system and political system. Whether it is Afghanistan or the COVID-19
pandemic, as long as they encounter risk, the U.S.' political system and
environment for cultivating talents will be completely at a loss. Its computer
simulations, quantitative analysis, mathematical models, and ample theoretical
theories will not be of much help. Of course, the United States does not lack
talents and insightful experts, but the problem with the United States is that
its political system, which has been fixed since the end of World War II, has become
formalized and exclude any policy dissents.
Such a window
period is very precious to China. Now it depends on China to take its moves so
as to win solid foundation for global status and geographic space. In fact, there
has never been such an obvious window period, hence this is also a deeply
challenging geopolitical issue for China.
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